Daily Doubles Day 29
22nd December 2016
Sgt Mangog – Daily Review
December 22nd – Day 29
THIS REVIEW STARTED NOVEMBER 24th, AND WILL RUN FOR 3 MONTHS.
A cautious note to punters’ – consider how any tipsters find out information. Are they “in the know”? People’s greed is what makes them blindly trust the tipster. Consider this: if your TV broke down, would you accept the same conditions? Our lovable tipster offers a non-refundable fee for his services and no guarantee of a win…would you accept that of a TV repairman? Pay him even though he can’t fix it? At least our TV chap would do his best to get a replacement even if he can’t fix the TV onsite…our tipster’s don’t do this – they just take your money, win or lose. And some of these tipsters are VAT registered! That tell you something? Sure we’d all like an “edge”, a chance of winning some money…but you must ask yourself, why blindly trust someone whom you probably don’t even know, about a horse you probably wasn’t even aware existed? That’s where we come in and what the website is doing, testing systems to give honest reviews about the findings, so bear with us, we’re on the punters’ side…I should know, I’m one of them! There’s a footnote below about “virtual gambling” if anyone is interested…
I have used BEST VALUE at the earliest opportunity…I advise getting “BEST GUARANTEED ODDS” at the earliest time. This system uses 1 point per bet, unless stated otherwise. N/R’s (if the price is taken early) is deemed as a lost bet unless the meeting/race was abandoned.
bangor 12.35 last shot 13/2 (5th 17/2) & bangor 15.10 kelsey 13/2 N/R – I’ve got to add this: “kelsey” was a N/R, but do you know why? It unseated it’s rider on the way to the start…the price was 4/1…unreal
chelmsford 15.50 white dog 15/2 (8th 7/1) & wolves 16.30 deftera lad 5/1 (1st 4/1)
chelmsford 14.20 golden amber 14/1 (5th 14/1) & wolves 16.00 the third man 6/1 (9th 7/1)
All double bets lost today, and just 1 winner out of all 6 horses
No better news to report on the 1st month anniversary of this system – still not a double-bet win. I did a thorough analysis of previous results and even betting E/W (as opposed to a straight win-double bet) would mean a bank loss. What worked out better was betting on each horse separately in race-card order obviously…Going back over the previous results and doing the same thing, gave 113 bets – out of which, 17 were winners, therefore a strike rate of 15.04%. The longest losing sequence was 20 races. I also worked a way of starting with £1000 – and thus far, that bank would now be £1639.09 (as of December 22nd).
Will keep any readers’ updated daily on this – see below as I will add my own figures separately 🙂
Power to the punters!!…hopefully!
Total bets placed so far = 72
Total wins so far = 0
Total profit points so far = 0
Total spent so far = 72
Win points today = 0……….R.O.I. = 0%……….Strike Rate = 0%……….BANK = -72 points
My figures….+£639.49 (avg +£22.05 a day) strike rate 15.13% (18/119 winners)
“A racetrack is a place where windows clean people” – Danny Thomas
Footnote – “virtual” gambling should be avoided, in my opinion. Punters’ must know that is fixed, for sure. The machines (or online) knows everything – someone will only win if they bet on the right race or spin at the right time. Again in my opinion, I believe any bookmaker would prefer this type of betting because it absolutely guarantees they cannot lose. It’s better for them if their entire shop had virtual machines, rather than live betting. There are no unknown variables in virtual gambling…everything is worked out so the machine wins in the end – that is guaranteed. Unlike “live” racing – anything can happen as there are far more unknown variables…ie, how the animal feels on the day, the course, the weather, the weight, tons of stuff. I absolutely love greyhound racing and have been studying them for years, have worked out speed ratings etc, you name it, I’ve looked into it. The Racing Post gives as much information as possible, and is a valuable tool if used correctly, for any punter. The “fastest dog” often concurs with their data as well, and I can understand why a dog’s odds might be as low as 6/4…on paper, it should win. Probably 75% of the time it would win the race it was in…but why is it when I decide to bet, the darn dog doesn’t win – to add insult to injury, it might come 5th out of 6. So what am I missing? The data is right, so what went wrong? For starters it had a 75% chance of winning, but then I watched an archived film of the race…the unknown variables came into play – it was hampered at the first bend, then another dog took it’s feet from under it. Then the result made more sense…and more information to remember the next time it ran. This doesn’t happen in virtual racing! Just go and watch a few of them…no animal falls, or is hampered. Unless you have managed to bet on the right race at the right time, you won’t win! And they’re geared up to take as much money from you as possible in the shortest space of time…my advice – stay away from them! Any virtual gambling!
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Regards, Sgt Mangog
