Daily Doubles Day 37
1st January 2017
Sgt Mangog – Daily Review
I’ve tried to be fair on this system and went back through all the tips and results since this system first come into operation, which was in early September 2016. I’ve been reviewing this since November 24th 2016 and the system hasn’t had one winner, so I’ve now revised all the figures to include everything since the beginning. After the results, the reader can see the difference between obtaining the best odds guaranteed (BOG) and the SP odds. Please consider these figures carefully when deciding whether to adopt this system, because the difference in the BOG’s and SP’s is a lot!
cheltenham 12.50 ambusson 14/1 (lost) & cheltenham 15.10 camping ground 5/1 (lost
exeter 13.15 lord of the island 6/1 (fell) & cheltenham 14.00 tenor nivernais 10/1 (lost)
southwell 13.45 show daisy 5/1 (lost) & southwell 15.30 general tufto 10/1 (lost)
Figures below include results from Sept 4th 2016 onwards…
Total bets placed so far = 340 Total wins so far = 12 Strike Rate is 3.5%
BOG figures – profit 482.6 points – 340 bets = +142.6. A start bank of £1000 would mean that is now £1142.60. If you’re just doing no specific bank, just the straight 1 point bet every double-bet, then that’s an R.O.I. of 141.9%. If you use the start bank of £1000, the R.O.I. on that would stand at 14.26%
SP figures – profit 295.32 points – 340 bets = -44.68. A start bank of £1000 would mean that is now £955.32. If you’re just doing no specific bank, just the straight 1 point bet every double-bet, then that’s an R.O.I. of 86.9%. If you use the start bank of £1000, the R.O.I. on that would stand at -4.47%
It is essential to get the BOG for the tips, for sure! I’ve included a table below of his 12 winning bets (as of January 1st 2017) and the returns on each bets with BOG’s and SP’s
| * = fav’s | BOG | SP |
| 6 sept * | £62.00 | £33.00 |
| 8 sept | £29.00 | £16.00 |
| 21 sept * | £2.00 | £2.00 |
| 10 oct | £84.00 | £63.00 |
| 20 oct | £59.50 | £38.50 |
| 20 oct * | £37.50 | £24.50 |
| 22 oct * | £32.00 | £13.13 |
| 24 oct * | £48.50 | £16.50 |
| 8 nov * | £29.00 | £19.00 |
| 9 nov * | £23.00 | £10.69 |
| 19 nov | £70.50 | £55.00 |
| 19 nov | £5.60 | £4.00 |
As you can see, 7/12 winners had favourites included within the double-bet – the BOG prices varied a lot from the SP’s, so much so, that I felt it necessary to show how important getting those early prices are. I receive the email tips around 9pm and unless anyone is making a bet at that time, then the prices are not easy to come by later (especially the following day). As an example, the September 6th result had winners’ S.P.’s of 5/1 & 9/2, which equals a 33/1 double, but the BOG prices gave a return of nearly double that.
The PRO’S for this system appear to be providing a punter can get the early odds, then any returns are usually quite good. The tipster has had some very nice-priced single winners, but the 2nd horse didn’t oblige. And I think I spoke before about the possibility of not only betting the “double”, but bet each horse singularly as well – this proved to be losing in the long run, so I wouldn’t advise this. There was a time in December when no single horses won for more than 40 races on the trot.
The negatives, if I can call them that, probably outweigh the pro’s, but these really depend on the punter. You have to ask yourself if you’d be available as soon as you get the tips by email to put the bet on, and any punter would need open accounts with the betting companies involved…at this stage, possibly 4 accounts – bet365, Will Hill, betvictor, to name some. If you can’t get the BOG’s, referring to the table above, that shows a long-term loss. In the winning bets above, and so far the strike rate isn’t very high, there were 7 favourites in the selections, these were at 9/2, 2/1, 5/2, 5/2, 7/4, 11/8, 11/8, as well as 2 non-runner bets, so pessimistically, one could say just 10 winners.
I’m not knocking the author of this system – he has had some really good-priced winners singularly, but to me I believe the “Daily Doubles” needs a lot of patience. It’s hard enough to find one winner of a race, let alone two, so the system is already up against it…but the BOG figures speak for themselves. It appears to be working as long as the punter can get the early odds and be prepared for long losing sequences.
Regards, Sgt Mangog
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